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kain_kusanagi said:
The next Xbox isn't hitting until at the earliest fall 2013. That's just a little less than two years. We will probably see a $50-$100 price drop for the 2012 holiday season. It's possible that we might see a price drop announced at E3 along with a new bundle or something, but MS has had incredible sales and Halo 4 coming out this year. Halo is like crack and the Xbox 360 is the pipe. Every time MS releases a new Halo game with a number in it's title their console gets a big boost. People always think everyone who's going to buy Halo already has an Xbox, but every time there is a boost. With Halo 4 and a possible price cut for the holidays and along with bundles, we could see the Xbox 360 have another record year and blow everyone away again.

You do realize how much the software market has shifted since 2007 right? Halo is no longer the premier hardware selling game franchise. It's been Call of Duty since Modern Warfare 2.

And the number 4  will have nothing to do with that changing . Halo Wars had no marketing appeal to FPS gamers. ODST; arguably a retail expansion pack (was originally being developed as such after all). Reach, was by many measures a better game than Halo 3. CE anniversary; an HD re-release. 

The only yardstick to compare sales differences for the "number theory" would be between Halo 2 and Halo 3, which weren't even on the same console. Halo 3 was released within the first 2 years of the Xbox 360 life cycle when it was still in the initial stages of building install base. Halo 4 will be released near the end. While I'm sure it will be a fantastic game, Bungie or no, the idea that it will sell a million consoles for being Halo 4 to people who no longer own an Xbox 360 is ridiculous. 

While I'm sure the immediate response will be to claim it doesn't matter because CoD isn't a console exclusive and Halo is, the reality is that Halo 4 will likely be directly responsible for the sale of consoles numbering in the mid to low hundreds of thousands at best. 

Any major shift in sales will coincide with price drops, deals and bundles that are likely to happen in the holiday 2012 season more than the release of Halo 4.