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TheBigFatJ on 23 January 2008
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ManusJustusNardus said:
TheBigFatJ said:

While I think it's very likely that the PS3 will pass the 360 sometime late in 2009, putting the 360 into 3rd place, you're probably right: there's no way the PS3 will have those kinds of sales relative to the 360.

I guess we will have to wait and see how PS3 lineup does this year, but I think 2009 is still pushing it since PS3 would have to outsell XBox 360 by 70,000 units a week from here on out. I think that XBox 360 and PS3 will stay close until the end of the generation, and if PS3 does come in second place (first place is out of the question for both XBox 360 and PS3) it would only happen near the end of this generation. With that prediction in mind, I'll still be happy because a close showing or tie with Sony is good for Microsoft and the American gaming industry.


Predicting a year into the future is somewhat difficult.  The PS3 could pick up steam just like the DS picked up steam, especially in America.  The 360 has had two years of flat sales -- I begin to wonder whether its sales will go up or down for 2008, especially in the face of a potentially good PS3 lineup and possibly another PS3 price drop.  Europe and Japan have continually sucked for Microsoft.  If Sony can get sales of the PS3 in America to even approach those of the 360, which I think is reasonable, then they can quite possibly make up an average of 70,000 units per week in Europe and Japan combined.  

Doesn't that sound reasonable?  Perhaps even probable.  Sony is the smarter and more diverse company.  They've succeeded in many areas.  Microsoft has one profitable division.

The mission statement of the Xbox is to protect the windows monopoly and extend it into the living room.  Microsoft doesn't mind losing money to do that, but their investors may not see as much value if they have to continue hemhoragging money.  Microsoft needs to increase the quality of its product.  Third parties have been doing fine by them, but the quality of the MS product is even below Microsoft's standards.

Perhaps even a majority of 360 owners this generation will experience an untimely failure.  Considering the press that the 360 failures have gotten, and the remaining loyal MS fan response of "mine hasn't failed yet", what do you think they'll consider next generation when MS and Sony have new products out? Sure, there are some zealots out there, but your average gamer isn't interested in dealing with hardware failures.