The NFL Thread 2011: New York Giants Win Super Bowl XLVI

[Mendicate Bias]

RolStoppable said:

Mendicate Bias said:

3 points is not alot. Getting into 7 points and above is when you can start to say a team is heavily favored. Double digit differentials are massive and I think there has only been 3 instances that a team has won a playoff game when being the underdog by double digits.

Two came in 2001, both by the Patriots in the AFC championship and Superbowl. I think they were 13 point underdogs for that superbowl

The third that I remember was in 2007 when the Patriots were 13 point favorites to win the Superbowl and were upset by the Giants.

So what's Euphoria14's problem then? It's not like the Patriots played piss poor in the playoffs and they finished the regular season with a 13-3 record while the Giants went 9-7. I am pretty sure that people favored the Patriots much more heavily over the Giants before the playoffs started.

Three points seems to be a slight edge and it's given to the team that won ten games straight (Giants won five in a row) and probably has the best record out of all NFL teams over the last decade.

I'm not sure as it seems a fair line to me as well. However seeing as the line is based off vegas and incoming bets I can definitely see it changing as we get closer to the actual game. 

I think a lot of people are going to jump on the Giants to win the Superbowl as their the hot team in everyones eyes right now. So with those influx of bets I can see the line dropping further to 2.5 maybe even 2 for the Patriots.