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Ever since MS first party grew bigger than Sonys first party, I have little to be concerned about on the first party front.

Plus the 360 had more exclusives in 2011 than PS3 and that was Sony trying hard. 2012 Sony has far fewer exclusives and Microsoft even more.

Just for Xbox this year i'm buying

Retail:

Fable: The Journey
Halo 4
Boom Boom Dance
Kinect Rush: A Disney-Pixar Adventure
Kinect Star Wars
Kinectalloons
Country Dance All Stars
Steel Battallion: Heavy Armour
Top Angler: Real Bass Fishing
Doodle Jump
Strictly Come Dancing
Phantom Breaker
Students of Round

XBLA

Dungeon Fighter Live Fall of Hendon Myre
Sine Mora
Alan Wake: American Nightmare
Deadlight
Dust
Fez
Bloodforge
Hybrid
Battleblock Theater
Wreckateer
Trials: Evolutions
Haunt
Diabolical Pitch
Project Draco

and The Witcher 2

I also bet we will hear from MGS Soho, Vancouver, Victoria, Family, MGS LEAP and MGS Platform Next games too. Not to mention that last year, 20+ 360 retail exclusives were announced and released in the same year. I bet the same happens this year too.

For PS3

Sly 4
Twisted Metal
Starhawk
Sorcery