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postofficebuddy said:
Seece said:

I'm talking about your shipment gap prediction of 0.8 being whack.

Even in Q1 if MS ship 1m from retailers ordering in too many units over xmas, and Sony ship 2.5m to reach their 15m tagret they have, it still puts the gap at 2m~, so yeah, you can't use the stuffing excuse. It'll all be ironed out after Q1.


That seems rather optimistic. Going by VGC's own numbers there's 2.4 million in the channel, possibly more depending on how much "over 66 million" they are, and we have 360 400k over NPD still as well as about 40k in France. We're probably looking at a Q1 2007 scenario here if there's going to be any 360 shipments period in Q1. If Sony beat their projection even slightly the shipment gap will likely be under 1 million after Q1.

:edit: Actually over 100k in France apparently.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=138820&page=1#

So you think MS are gonna ship nothing - 500k in Q1? uh huh, no not happening. Wishful thinking on your part.

We're waiting ON shipments to determine what's sold and how many are on shelves.