| naznatips said: I'm not saying you're absolutely, eniquivocably, wrong. I'm saying you have absolutely, unequivocably, zero evidence to support your claims. You're clubbing baby seals left and right over here. "He said." "She said." "I believe." These are not the basis of good predictions, they're the basis of opinion. It's possible the mobile gaming market will shrink some, but as of right now the best evidence you have for it is conjecture on the level of "Well this market exists, so obviously it has to subtract from the original one!" |
The bolded is where we differ. The 3DS is doing well enough for itself but given the history of handheld launches, it's nothing spectacular and a price drop was needed to get there. Whereas I see other convergence markets bursting at the seams (the iPad 2 was supply constrained for what, three months after launch?). I don't see a future where all these devices continue to grow (or in some cases, even stay stagnant). Is that opinion? Absolutely. Is that a bad prediction? No, I don't think so. It's quite grounded, actually. We haven't even seen the market for under $200 tablets yet but you know they're on the way. Look at the Fire. If Apple manages to come into the $300 market with an iPad (likely), mayhem will ensue and I don't see how it won't bleed into handhelds. Statistics are already starting to show that they're causing disruption in the laptop sector and quality tablets have yet to dip under $400.
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