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Distant Star on 12 January 2012
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Depends on who keeps their walled garden. Sony isn't doing this. At least for PS Suite. In the end PSN will be available on every Android device. Microsoft puts LIVE on iOS and Android (CES 2012). ONLIVE and Gaikai will probably be everywhere.

Will Sony release on iOS and Windows platform? Don't think so.

Mobile
For now it seems like Android has everything but iOS exclusives.
iOS has anything but Sony Exclusives.
WPhone has anything but Sony and iOS exclusives.

Wphone is least attractive for consumers, which means less hardware support. They do have Nokia, they might wanna eat Blackberry. There is still room for growth in the market. Western 50% smartphones and Rising BRIC's. Asia seems to like Free Android, but Baidu (Android-based) probably takes China.

TV
Android will start with ONLIVE, Gaikai and Google Market. If PS4 failes = Android support.
Apple will allow any platform just like on mobile. Sony won't jumpin and Microsoft won't support Apple TV. If there TV's are affordable and enough people buy their TV's. They will get developer support Easy to develop. If Apple keeps their strategy, their marketshare will shrink like in mobile.

Microsoft this is interesting, because kinect might be the future of TV. In combination with Siri (Tell Me). Microsoft has it all covered. Developers clearly like to develop for DirectX platform. This has to be an exclusive. Android and iOS or any other platform can't get this. Microsoft will also support openGL.

Microsoft clearly has an advantage. It's basically a war between Opensource en Microsoft. If Microsoft starts losing marketshare they buy so many exclusives, that kids will eventually convince their parents. Content is the way to go for Microsoft.

Microsoft has a monopoly called DirectX. OpenGL can't win, because MS just adds it like any other opensource project. MS knows we are entering a post-PC era. That's why they created Xbox. Microsoft will always dominate as long as the cloud doesn't arrive for our gaming needs.

Sony becomes just an other content company for Android. It will compete with Gaikai and and ONLIVE. The problem is that Sony can't support iOS and Windows, because of their hardware business. The real problem is that Gaikai and ONLIVE are DirectX based which makes it harder for Sony to compete. Or they also buy a MS license.