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Play4Fun on 06 January 2012
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Rpruett said:
archbrix said:
Rpruett said:
Rpruett said:
Rpruett said:
scottie said:
Rpruett said:
 They live and die the most by their systems. Microsoft and Sony have sustainable business elsewhere to prop their companies up if things go South for a generation or two.

I never said the end of Nintendo is imminent.  I just said they are the most likely to be the 'next' to leave.  The wild success and profit of the Nintendo Wii has saved Nintendo for a forseeable timeframe in my estimate.  However,  Nintendo has no assets or sustainable business beyond video games.  Where as Microsoft and Sony have far more resources at their disposal for a bad streak of generations. If Sony wanted to adopt a strategy similar to Nintendo, they could produce the components of a PS3.5 at a bargain rate similar to how Nintendo created a GC 2.0 with the Wii.  And it's likely the strategy they would take if it ever came down to it. 

I agree with your above underlined statements, but they actually work against your main point as much as they help it.

I get what your saying:  Citing Microsoft's and Sony's numerous resources, you believe they could hold out longer if they had to.  But the very fact that Microsoft and Sony do have other lines of business to fall back on and Nintendo doesn't is the very reason why Nintendo would logically be that last one of the three to leave the game industry... that's their entire business model.

Of course, they could screw up and be forced out ala Sega (from console making at least), but if the question was, "What company would be in the most trouble if their gaming division went south", then it would make sense to say Nintendo.

My point really boils down more or less to the fact that,  all three companies could see sustainable business moving forward.  I don't really see any either of them leaving the industry anytime in the near future.  The simple fact of the matter is,  if gaming goes south for all of these companies,  Nintendo stands the most to lose.  Point blank period.  

Nintendo while much, much better at managing their business than Sega.... and in a better situation financial Is really sitting in a position that is most reminscent of Sega .  Where as Microsoft and Sony have so many resources at their disposal and are almost at a point of being 'Too Big To Fail'.  If Sony changed their strategy to lower costs dramatically, their market reception would increase.

My honest opinion is next generation could very well see a landslide Microsoft / Sony dominated console breakdown.  The HD consoles have sold damn well despite the Wii owning so much marketshare.  Especially as Nintendo pushes towards an HD future for first time, they are going to incur more costs in development and will likely get a lot more aggressive in their strategies after the successful Wii generation.   The problem is, Nintendo has formed a reputation as almost an anti-thesis to what Sony and Microsoft have built themselves on to an extent,  they will lose a battle of HD.

 

 

The HD consoles have sold so damn well despite Wii's massive success, so therefore next gen could mean Nintendo fails.

Nintendo is getting more powerful hardware next gen and since they are not like Sony and MS it could mean doom due to higher development costs despite them having massive  amounts of money in the bank, being in no debt and having done research and development in prepararation for next gen game development.