Based on current situations?
Sony I'd say.
Even though Nintendo screwed up with the 3DS earlier on, it showed that it still had a lot of magic in saving itself from destruction and towards relative success. Unless if they screw Wii U up big time, but I don't think they will, since the 3DS itself was already a bad enough experience.
Microsoft? Not really. C'mon, Windows (which forms a big part of itself) is still alive and kicking and literally printing truckloads of money at the moment, and the Xbox division is just a tiny tiny portion of that company. Plus, with the 360 still pretty alive and that they have gained a pretty good foothold in the American market with not much to lose (so what if they really lose money? They have a hell lot of other monetary resources to plug the pag), they're here to stay unless they decide to shut down the division themselves. Well they have all the resources to tag in a rat race together with the PS3 imo.
But for Sony, not too good I'd say. Sony is a massive corporation, where the PlayStation brand is only part of whatever it does: Computers electronics and whatever you have there. But it's been losing money, billions for the past few years. It even sold its TV division to its largest rival Samsung. Coupled with another risky venture with the PS Vita with its less than impressive showing throughout the 3 weeks in Japan, I'd say Sony's facing a pretty big problem this time round. Can it afford to risk continue losing money for the sake of capturing market share in the console market where it only forms part of its corporate structure? I don't know.
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