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Danny355 on 22 January 2008
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Avinash_Tyagi said:
Danny355 said:
The 8 year figure im refering to for the PS2 relates entirely to Tyagis 2015 prediction. I dont expect the PS2 to be selling strongly in 2014-15 and never said as much either.

The PS2 sold 8 million units last year. Comparing this years sale to last its dropped by something like 12.5% so far. Even if it drops to 25% a year starting tommorow, it wont be far off 30 million by the end of 2015. If it has another year like 2007, it can drop a lot more than 25% each following year and STILL be in the region of 30 million in 2015.

Mr Tyagi, you seem reluctant but I would like to take up a "bet" with you...Can you put something along the lines of "the PS2 & 3 will not sell more than 40m combined between 1st Jan 2008- 31st december 2015" in your signature. Feel free to break that down into the 10m & 30m you stated for the respective consoles if you want!

 Don't need to, see its already a part of my Wii will surpass the entire family of Playstation consoles prediction, because my preidction takes into account potential PS2 and PS3 sales from this point.  Same reason I don't give a value for final Wii fit sales, because i'm going by an estimated attach rate (similar to the Wii sports/Wiiplay attach rates in japan) factoring in the range for Wii sales I have predicted

 

Also the idea that it will continue to sell well next year and the year after is your speculation you are assuing that sales trends will continue when in all likelyhood its drop off will be accelerated in the coming couple of years, as Wii eats more into its share

Yes but I think your Wii delusions and your "PS family" delusions are 2 very different and equally outlandish beasts. More to the point, a prediction 8 years in the future means nothing, because its highly unlikley you, me and this site will still be aquainted in 2015 for me to laugh at you, but your certain prediction that the PS2 wont sell another 10 million units could well happen in the next 18 months. The point of this thread for example is for John Lucas to make himself look ridiculous in 11 months time. A lot of your predictions are completely outlandish & also completely safe because they're dealing with stuff at least 3+ years into the future...

...And to be honest I dont really care to argue with you anymore because even if the PS2 sells say 7 million this year, even if the PS3 sells 12 million this year and even if the Wii only sells 25 million, im sure you will have an excuse or an answer as to why what is happening isnt a true reflection of reality and that it bears no meaning and that in the future when "this, that and this" happen, true reality will occur and Nintendo will buy their own continent and become a nuclear power.