Danny355 said: The 8 year figure im refering to for the PS2 relates entirely to Tyagis 2015 prediction. I dont expect the PS2 to be selling strongly in 2014-15 and never said as much either. The PS2 sold 8 million units last year. Comparing this years sale to last its dropped by something like 12.5% so far. Even if it drops to 25% a year starting tommorow, it wont be far off 30 million by the end of 2015. If it has another year like 2007, it can drop a lot more than 25% each following year and STILL be in the region of 30 million in 2015. Mr Tyagi, you seem reluctant but I would like to take up a "bet" with you...Can you put something along the lines of "the PS2 & 3 will not sell more than 40m combined between 1st Jan 2008- 31st december 2015" in your signature. Feel free to break that down into the 10m & 30m you stated for the respective consoles if you want! |
Don't need to, see its already a part of my Wii will surpass the entire family of Playstation consoles prediction, because my preidction takes into account potential PS2 and PS3 sales from this point. Same reason I don't give a value for final Wii fit sales, because i'm going by an estimated attach rate (similar to the Wii sports/Wiiplay attach rates in japan) factoring in the range for Wii sales I have predicted
Also the idea that it will continue to sell well next year and the year after is your speculation you are assuing that sales trends will continue when in all likelyhood its drop off will be accelerated in the coming couple of years, as Wii eats more into its share
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)