To those who don't understand my 60 million in 2008 prediction

[Avinash_Tyagi]

Slash said:
300 million sales for a console? It's hard to see it happen. It looks 'doable' now (31 million every year is in wii's league) but I don't think it will be selling that amout every year in 3 to 4 years. Also the PS3 is going to get pretty big games in 2008/2009 and in a eventual price-cut (sony knows it has to do it again sometime in the upcoming years) it will sell pretty good. As for the Wii? I'm surprised no-one is mensioning the consoles life-cycle. Nintendo can 'gameplay over graphics' all they want but in the next two years it's really going to show. Casuals will continue to buy it but they must also think of there already established hardcore crowd. A Wii2 will be coming for them before 8 years and that will surely hurt the origineel wii sells because they will be similiar.

 if that were true we'd have stuck to the gaming PC instead of the NES, the gaming PC when NES launched was 16 Bit, a gen ahead, but instead NES, won. graphics don't matter to the end user.  NES lasted 20 years in Japan, I fully expect Wii to last at least 10.

 

Also PS3 may be able to price cut, but so what Wii can price cut as well, plus PS3 doesn't appeal to most of the population and the games on PS3 appeal to the same hardcore gaming group.  Wii is no where needing a price cut yet, probably not for a year, year and a half, and yet sales will rocket once price drops, PS2 sold the vast majority for its consoles for under $200.  The only reason people think 300 million is out of reach is becauseconsole makers did a great job of restricting the market to the 13-35 male demographic, it hasn't outgrown that, in fact Son y made that group their primary focus and as a result the market is led to believe that only 150 million is the max a console can get, when in fact there are millions and millions of people outside that demographic