selnor said:
ethomaz said:
thx1139 said:
ethomaz said:
I'm doing my maths now...
2010 Q1+Q2 = 5.9m shipped / 2010 Q3+Q4 = 8.4m shipped / 2010 FY = 14.3m shipped
2011 Q1+Q2 = 5.5m shipped
It need to ship more than 9.1m to match 15m predicted in Q3+Q4.
2011 Q3 ~ 6.6-6.9m
2011 Q4 ~ 2.2-2.5m
If Sony is "Slightly Ahead" their prediction then they need do ship over 7 million this quarter.
55.5 + 7.0 = 62.5m
So VGC needs to show PS3 over 61 million at 31th December.
VGC need show PS3 selling at least 2.8 million in the last three week of the year... at least 930k per week.
Or we have PS3 undertracked. Or Sony is lying and will not match the 15 million predicted.
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If they shipped 5.5 the 1st 2 quarters they need to ship 9.51 the next 2 quarters to ship slightly more than 15 million. How does that make VGC need to show over 61 million at Dec 31st? You dont know how much they planned to ship Q3 or Q4. They could have planned to ship 7 and 2.5 and they may now be looking at 7.1 and 2.5.
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7 million in Q3 = 62.5m shipped at 31th Dec.
So VGC needs to show PS3 over 61m at the same period for 1.5m or less consoles on shelves.
I can't see Sony shipping more then 2.5m in Q4... look the old shipped numbers.
http://scei.co.jp/corporate/data/bizdataps3_sale_e.html
Edit - That's the wort case with VGC showing 1.5m PS3 on shelves... if we use 1 million or less on shelves VGC needs to show 61.5m or more.
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VGC has never been out by that much.
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It's not that much 
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PS3 need to sell here 2.8 million in three weeks... this week it sold 700k.
Next 1: 850k
Next 2: 950k
Next 3: 600k (last week of the year)
2.4 million in three week... VGC is just 400k under (last holidays period VGC is under more than that).
Of course... if Sony is really ""Slightly Ahead" of 15 Million Yearly Target".
