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ethomaz on 15 December 2011
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thx1139 said:
ethomaz said:

I'm doing my maths now...

2010 Q1+Q2 = 5.9m shipped / 2010 Q3+Q4 = 8.4m shipped / 2010 FY = 14.3m shipped
2011 Q1+Q2 = 5.5m shipped

It need to ship more than 9.1m to match 15m predicted in Q3+Q4.

2011 Q3 ~ 6.6-6.9m
2011 Q4 ~ 2.2-2.5m

If Sony is "Slightly Ahead" their prediction then they need do ship over 7 million this quarter.

55.5 + 7.0 = 62.5m

So VGC needs to show PS3 over 61 million at 31th December.

VGC need show PS3 selling at least 2.8 million in the last three week of the year... at least 930k per week.

Or we have PS3 undertracked. Or Sony is lying and will not match the 15 million predicted.

If they shipped 5.5 the 1st 2 quarters they need to ship 9.51 the next 2 quarters to ship slightly more than 15 million.  How does that make VGC need to show over 61 million at Dec 31st?  You dont know how much they planned to ship Q3 or Q4. They could have planned to ship 7 and 2.5 and they may now be looking at 7.1 and 2.5.

7 million in Q3 =  62.5m shipped at 31th Dec.

So VGC needs to show PS3 over 61m at the same period for 1.5m or less consoles on shelves.

I can't see Sony shipping more then 2.5m in Q4... look the old shipped numbers.

http://scei.co.jp/corporate/data/bizdataps3_sale_e.html

Edit - That's the wort case with VGC showing 1.5m PS3 on shelves... if we use 1 million or less on shelves VGC needs to show 61.5m or more.