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thismeintiel on 04 December 2011
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Seece said:
thismeintiel said:
Seece said:
Er, there are 5 weeks left in the year, so it has to do 200k a week basically.

Except the 5th week, the last week of Dec, is going to go to PS3 by defualt.  This is because the sales for the 360 are going to drop quite a bit when holiday shopping ends after Christmas.  However, in other regions, like Japan, the PS3 is going to continue to rise.  I decided to treat that week as a tie, just for argument's sake, so the 360 has only 4 weeks to tie the PS3, not 5.

lol what a joke, you can predict the future now? It's still a week and I could say by default the X360 is gonna outsell the PS3 xmas week. PS3 only outsold the X360 that week last year 80k, in the face of X360 shortages.

We already know the PS3 took that week last year by ~102K.  In 2009, it took that week by ~258K.  In 2007, it took that week by ~91K.  Since its launch, the PS3 has only lost to the 360 2 years during that week.  In its launch year, 2006, it lost by ~33K.  However, this is because the PS3 hadn't launched in much of EMEAA.  And once again in 2008, which was the year that saw the release of the $199 360 SKU.  But even with the great pricecut, the 360 only was able to outsell it by ~4K. 

So yea, using common sense, as well as previous numbers, its easy to see the PS3 will probably outsell the 360 that week this year by ~80K-100K.  Still, I'm treating it like a tie.