To those who don't understand my 60 million in 2008 prediction

[Avinash_Tyagi]

greenmedic88 said:
My point regarding the production increases is that they've already decided what the numbers will be and have already arranged for materials, components and facilities to meet those numbers. Unless sales extend far beyond their projections for 2008, they will not be announcing a huge percent increase over current production or current future production rates that have already been arranged.

Hardware sales in Japan are projected to drop off again slightly from last week, which was indicative of the overall WW drop in sales. Japan is a good indicator of where global sales are headed and I suspect we will see similar drops both in NA and Others.

There is no point in increasing production beyond what Nintendo has already decided if we continue to see normal sales (for this time of the year) falling under current 1.8m/month production rates. But again, there isn't much point in interpreting Jan-Feb sales figures into the rest of 2008 until Nintendo releases their Mar financial report.

The thing to note about the report is that it has no actual bearing on hardware unit sales, only production rates. Nobody is waiting for Nintendo's financial report to decide whether they're going to buy a $250 game player. Who it matters to are the current and potential shareholders.

 Hardware sales are going to drop off in the next few months of course but this isn't the period to look at to judge sales, wait until after march to see where sales go, and the fact that Nintendo wants to have stock for next winter, they will up production after march for those reasons

 

You're just completelty deluded!!! You're entire analysis is based on the thinking that what is happening now and over the last year is not indicitive of reality and that its about to magically change and the PS family will stop selling next week and the Wii will suddenly treble its sales.



Your most severe delusion is your opinion of the PS...You think the PS2 will sell 10 million more world wide maximium ever!!!?? Oh please "take a bet" & put that in your signature, pretty please! The PS2 sold 5 million units last year alone without even counting Europe & Others. Its going to sell a lot more than 10 million over the next 8 years. You say its dying off, yes it is.....But to put it in perspective, lets look at the 2007 US software totals of the Wii and this "dead" console.... Wii software = 37 million, PS2 software = 36 million. I guess you have some magic excuse as to why the numbers dont represent whats actually happening in that case too.



And the PS3 will sell 30 million more in that time period? As much as I would like that to happen, thats just RAVING INSANITY. Thats 312,000 a month on average for the next 8 years. For this month - which is 2 weeks in - we're up to 420,000 already but I guess thats all about to suddenly change?



To sum up: I think Mr Miamoto could become elected president of earth and your predictions still wouldnt come true.

 

You do realize that PS3 is going to start to level off and decline after next year and its undertracking the PSP by a good margin, 30 million more is being generous, and PS2 is already in decline, maybe another year to two years of decent sales, but it won't sell as much as last year this year and will drop off pretty fast, so the PS family definetly wont be over 300 million by 2015, so my prediction is definelty possible.

 

You are completely full of it if you think the Wii alone will get anywhere near 250 million sold.

 

Not at all, its demographics are much wider than any previous console and its already broken nearly every sales record even with constrained supply, it is very likely that it will become as ubiquitous  as the Ipod, possibly even more sold due to its more mass market price and single hardware setup, no need to worry about which one has a bigger hard drive or can play DVD's etc.