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Seece said:
Hmmm, I don't agree (yet)

Dashboard needs to launch SOON, and if they find the giftcards arnt working and whatever they have planned for EMEAA isn't working, they need to cut.


It's too late for that.  Store ads for up to the end of the year are already being printed, and commercial slots have been set.

The strong potential for a holiday cut would be all but wasted by near non-existant advertising.  A strongly advertised cut early next year would be better than anything last minute they could whip up for the holidays.

Though I personally think they'll wait til closer to the end of next year to change prices, relying instead on bundles and gift card deals to ride things out.  But at that point they'll have to take into account the launch of the next Xbox.  What price they'll want to sell the 360 at alongside their new console, concurrent marketing, etc. etc.  We don't have enough information on that to make any solid predictions ourselves.

Edit:

I just realized your post is 9 days old, but most of what I've said still generally holds true.