I like windows phone 7 a lot Selnor, but I don't see it happening by June 2012. They will be crazy lucky to get 10% marketshare by then...if they can convert the 60-70% of the Symbian nokia crowd.
Only with Windows 8 and Apollo do they have a chance, but they have to figure something out with OEMs. The restrictions they have on OEMs in terms of hardware and software are wonderful and bad at the same time.
Wonderful for users who can expect a uniform experience no matter which device they get, and terrible for OEM's who don't have the freedom to push their tech as hard as they can with WP.







