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disolitude said:
superchunk said:
However, with no support from Verizon (US largest carrier) and Android continuing to climb in sales each year, I'd put money on WP7 going out slowly like BB is.


At 1.7% marketshare or whatever it is at now, it really can't "go out" any more than it already has. There is always going to be a hardcore following of 2% no matter what kind of carrier or marketing push the device gets. Symbian and Palm OS in North American for example...

Blackberry on the other hand at 20% marketshare will be "going out" for sure.

What I mean by going out is that even at 1.7% it losing sales year over year. Its not remaining flat, but continuously declining. BB is doing the same at a faster rate, of course... but when you have a larger number in the first place, there's more to lose.

PalmOS gone already completely as HP closed up that ship.
Symbian has been reduced to feature phones.
Blackberry is slowly going out and only remains due to it being a hardware and software company so at any % market share, if its profitable BB will remain.

Windows Phone doesn't have that luxury as MS doesn't make the hardware. Nokia will drop it and move to Android if it doesn't rebound significantly while other 3rd parties will only make a phone or two with WP on it while greater majority of their products still have Android.

Granted, this is only IF WP continues to drop in sales or remains flat. If it shows increase over this next year as Nokia really puts out serious phones and MS heavily markets its latest features, it could increase and become a real competitor.

Otherwise it will remain largely a two horse race.