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archbrix said:
HappySqurriel said:
BenVTrigger said:

The thing is Halo 4 is such a massive game I think it would directly compete and hurt the Nextbox's sales.  Not to mention GTA 5 as well.  I just don't think any next-gen consoles are ready to compete with them.

I really don't think so ...

Most "big" games have a significant impact on the market for (maybe) 6 weeks or 8 weeks, a new console will likely sell (about) as well as it can for the first 6 weeks to 3 months regardless of competition, and these games may be released weeks or months before the console is released. So, suppose Halo 4 is released early October and the next XBox is released late November, how much of an impact will Halo 4 have on the next XBox in January?

You have to remember though, that Halo always has some decent legs for many months after its release.  Sure, the biggest numbers follow the pattern you mentioned, but let's say the next Xbox released in Nov 2012 as you said.  The launch and holiday numbers would look good for the new console due to the big fans early adopting.  But the price reduced 360 with Halo 4, GTA 5 and whatever COD releases holiday 2012 would continue to sell well through 2013, while the Xbox 1080 would likely slow down considerably, same way the PS3 did while PS2 continued so nicely.

If Microsoft waits until mid to late 2013 to launch Xbox 1080, said games will have slowed down a bit, giving the new console the complete spotlight for the 2013 holiday.  It's similar to the way Nintendo didn't release Wii U this year, instead letting Zelda take the spotlight now, and Wii U taking it next year.  And that's even with current Wii sales down and only one big game.  The 360 certainly won't have those dwindling sales holiday of 2012, therefore there's little need for the Xbox 1080 that early, IMO.

 Exactly.  I 100% agree with this post.  You guys on this site need to remember we are a VERY small representation of hardcore gamers in comparisson to the vast amount there are in the world.  Just because some of us are ready for next gen does not mean the rest of gamers are. 

I think a $100 360 with massive titles like Halo 4, GTA 5, the next COD, and probably the next Asassins Creed would absolutley destroy the next-box in sales if it launched in 2012. You have to remember to most people the current graphics are more than enough and if they keep getting these huge titles, with lots of XBox Live support what would be the point for the average gamer to upgrade?  The perfect time for them to launch would be like 3rd quarter 2013.  Let the hype and sales of the huge holiday 2012 games slow down a bit and slowly trickle out the amount of big games coming out for the 360 and then launch.