metal gear solid 4 predictions

[Bodhesatva]

I'm predicting in the 4 million range.

I think MGS3 was better recieved by the public, from what I can tell, than MGS2 was, and the graphical upgrade may draw people in. The game is also one of THE defining games of the PS3 this generation, while MGS was one of a larger number of major games.

On the other side, MGS saw a steep drop off after the previous iteration, and it's now on a system with a dramatically smaller user base.

I think these effects will essentially cancel each other out, and the game will hit around what MGS3 did.