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thismeintiel on 15 November 2011
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IamAwsome said:
NightDragon83 said:
Wii U 2012
NextBox 2013
PS4 2014

That's the way it is. Sony can't afford to launch another system within the next 2 years yet when the PS3 is finally starting to turning a profit for them, and with the impending Vita launch which is going to drain more cash from Sony (they're selling it at a loss), and where the long-term success of the platform is still very much up in the air.

The traditional "5-year" console cycle is long gone as of this generation. And even when it comes to Sony, they haven't had to stick to the arbitrary 5-year cycle the way Nintendo, Sega, and more recently M$ did... PS1 was already out for almost 5-1/2 years before PS2 launched in Japan, and it took more than 6 years between the PS2 and PS3 launch. Sony is only going to make their move when M$ does, because they don't feel that the Wii U is as big of a threat to them, as it's only catching up to the 360/PS3 in terms of power and graphical abilities, and won't be leaps and bounds over the PS3 like the "NextBox" will be.

I still think that the PS4 will launch in 2013 because of the potential marketshare lost. Does Sony really want to launch after both the Wii U and NexBox, and even worse, give them a huge cushion to work with? I see Sony giving in even though they will effectively kill off a lot of PS3 profits. Also, Sony waiting until M$ to make their move is still up in the air because we won't know how well the Wii U will do. 

On a side note, I wouldn't write off the Wii U's power as we still don't know how much power it truely has under the hood, and we won't know until next year. 

Yea, 2013 is more realistic for both the NeXbox and the PS4.  Sure, Sony isn't going to rush into next gen, but they also aren't going to give Nintendo a 2 year head start.  Besides, 2012 is really going to be the last great year for both the 360 and the PS3.  Sony will probably drop the entry price to ~$200, while MS is definitely going to drop the 250GB to around the same price.  So, while they both will be getting a small profit from their systems in 2013, they will both be down quite a bit YOY, which means most of the profit will be coming from existing users buying games.  A great time to start to move onto the next gen.