10 Week Countdown 2011 - End Results

[Pineapple]

non-gravity said:

Pineapple said:

I'm doing a lot better than I thought I would here. As a matter of fact, nearly all of us are doing a lot better than I anticipated. Our predicions weren't this close to the VGChartz numbers in the previous years, were they?

Looking at these 2010 results (which are after all adjustments) 
http://img341.imageshack.us/img341/9480/10wcweeks.jpg

The lowest score in any week was 36 *4/5 = 29 (because we only have 4 platforms this year). So far there have been 1 person below this in week 1 and 3 below it in week 2.

 

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=117889

In 2009 the lowest score was 20 * 4/5 = 16. There has been 1 person below this in week 2.

That's very interesting. I'm not sure why we're better at predicting this year, though. Was it more obvious this year? Is it coincidence? Last year was a rather hard one too predict, as the Wii did far better than anyone could have anticipated. I don't remember anything about the years before that was completely unpredictable, but that might just be my memory failing me.

Or do our numbers end up being far more off after adjustments? That would make sense, as even the numbers we based our predictions off are changed.