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Pineapple said:

I'm doing a lot better than I thought I would here. As a matter of fact, nearly all of us are doing a lot better than I anticipated. Our predicions weren't this close to the VGChartz numbers in the previous years, were they?

Looking at these 2010 results (which are after all adjustments) 
http://img341.imageshack.us/img341/9480/10wcweeks.jpg

The lowest score in any week was 36 *4/5 = 29 (because we only have 4 platforms this year). So far there have been 1 person below this in week 1 and 3 below it in week 2.

 

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=117889

In 2009 the lowest score was 20 * 4/5 = 16. There has been 1 person below this in week 2.