RolStoppable said:
Troll_Whisperer said:
I wouldn't be surprised if 64% of Japanese people owned a system. If you add up this generation's consoles you get 55%. Of course some people will own several systems so say 45-50%. Then add PS2 to that and it's pretty likely.
If you go to Japan you'll see that all kinds of people use their DS's and PSP's, from children to old people, going through businessmen.
I agree though that the size of the sample is not a problem as long as it is representative. That's how surveying works, people always complain about sample sizes and don't realise that you don't need a sample of thousands. A scientific sample of this size is enough.
However, it is just loyal, early adopters who are going to be interested in a system before it launches. I'm sure it was similar for PSP, 3DS, etc. If the system gets good support, it is liked by those who buy it, etc., then more people will become interested down the line. It doesn't mean that 6m will buy the Vita, period.
And off-topic, but your avatar makes me think of certain sexual practice, also of Japanese origin, but that's just my dirty mind.
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The percentages translate to way too high numbers, that's the problem. More than 50 million (buy for sure + interest) in potential sales just seems unrealistic for a home console that is a year away with little about its game lineup being known. My adjusted numbers didn't result in 6m buyers, but 27 million potential buyers for either system.
My avatar is absolutely fine.
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It's difficult to imagine 13m peopl are 100% sure they will buy WiiU, so you may be right, perhaps the sample is not the best.
Anyway, Japan is very keen to quickly disappearing fads. Perhaps many people are certain they'll buy it because that's what's 'in', but they'll end up passing on the system once it's not. I'm sure many surveys in Japan end up with exaggerated numbers. Then again, that still doesn't bode well for Vita.
Nothing against you avatar, lol.
