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enditall727 said:
ils411 said:

Since were reviewing, here's a bigger picture

 

Period PS3 Xbox360 Lead (PS3) Lead (X360)
Jan 3rd 2010 - Oct 30th 2010 8,888,835 7,301,151 1,587,684  
Oct 31st 2010 - Jan 1 2011 5,502,536 6,305,487   802,951
         
Total 2010 14,391,371 13,606,638 784,733  
         
         
Jan 2nd 2011 - Oct 29th 2011 8,778,992 7,242,745 1,536,247  

Notice the similarities? History may very well repeat itself

 

yea it could repeat itself if 360 had the 360 slim launching this year AND a $500 mill ad Kinect launch this year

does it??

:)

Don't forget Halo:Reach.  That and what you stated above is what I think some are ignoring.  The main reasons the 360 was able to come back so strong was the HUGE Kinect push and success, plus the added interest from the new 360 Slim and the launch of a much waited exclusive.  360, even if it gets a $50 cut, won't have anything to match that this year.

To look at how big of an effect those were last year, go back a year further, and look at 2009 sales.  This was when the PS3 saw its Slim launch and when had a price cut to $299 (we'll use this cut to equal the impact of Kinect and any large title launches).  Also, keep in mind that the 360 also had an entry SKU $100 cheaper than the PS3's entry SKU. 

Month PS3 360 PS3 Lead
Nov '09 1,908,850  1,636,850 +272,000
Dec '09 3,930,490 2,705,045 +1,225,445
Total 5,839,340 4,341,895 +1,497,445

While I realize this isn't going to be an exact 1:1 comparison, it does help one realize just how big an impact a Slim model and a significant cut (or in the 360's case, Kinect and Halo:Reach last year) can be.  Even with two SKUs cheaper than the PS3's entry price and the release of MW2 (the difference between launch weeks and HW boosts were larger in '09), the PS3 was able to outsell the 360 by ~1.5 million for the holiday season.  For last Nov and Dec, the 360 was able to outsell the PS3 by a total of 803K.  Again, the 360 has NOTHING for it this year that will let it equal the impact of reasons described above.