thismeintiel said:
I'm sure Kinect will do alright, especially in Americas, but nothing like it did last year. I think the recent launches, and there underperformance compared to their predecessors, of Dance Central 2 and Kinect Sports 2 show exactly this. And last year had large games, as well. MW3 will probably have the same affect on sales that Black Ops did. According to Halo Anniversary's pre-order numbers, it's not going to help out the 360 as much as Reach did last year. Basically, the biggest missing factor is going to be the HUGE boost Kinect gave the 360. |
Don't forget Skyrim and AC: Revelations which will give it a small boost (seriously for some reason it seems every game lately has given the 360 and PS3 a boost). Gears 3 took the place of Halo Reach's numbers so Halo: CEA is just a bonus at this point. MW3 is so huge that it will probably give a bigger boost than Black Ops (so probably about the same as last year since Kinect will make it slightly down)
And as for Kinect games they are notorious for having slow starts but just keep selling. I'm fairly sure Kinect will do better than you think.
Not too mention deals look absolutely sick for the 360 so that will help out as well.