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MasterVG71782 said:
Acevil said:
kitler53 said:
Munkeh111 said:
Well I'm getting one.... But if that would mean that they expect around 30-40m sold in the first 18 months if 60% of PS3 users are going to get one in those first 18 months, but I assume I have misunderstood, as that just sounds silly


the missing link is that answering a survey with "plan to buy" doesn't equate to actually paying $250 at launch.   I "plan to buy" but i'm going to hold out a couple a months just to make sure the thing doesn't flop in which can my "plan to buy" becomes a "do not buy".

.. so i'll just make a guess: 63% of those who "plan to buy" in the first 18 months will not buy in the first 18 months...

Actually even those that say they are buying, if I remember correctly nearly only half actually do it, based on some presentation in my school. Assuming a correct consumer survey was collected, and not a biased sample one. The people say likely to buy, get reduced further. 

Not to mention that 63% of the people who owned a PS3 on the survey said they were planning on buying one or pre-ordered one. We don't know how big the survey was, or if it was worldwide or in just one region. The article and topic title suggests that the 63% includes ALL PS3 owners, which I would think it clearly doesn't.

As a guess, I suspect that Sony put a small survey up on the Playstation network (possibly in one region) which would skew towards dedicated gamers being that they had to be connected to the Playstation network and have played an online game while the survey was available. For every typical gamer that stumbled across it, there would probably be 10 (or 100) gamers who played online games every day and bought a new game every month or more who took the survey.