Complete Sales Comparisons, Part 2

[Played_Out]

Avinash_Tyagi said:

Played_Out said:

Ah yes. Very impressive too. Saw a much bigger % increase than any console last gen. Interesting stuff.

As for my wii-wager, I don't expect the Wii to experience the same trajectory as the PS2. It will peak much earlier IMO. Should be close though.

Doubtful, very doubtful, as the Wii still has a tone of unsatisfied Demand at this price point, no Wii will likely experience a much larger rise WW than the PS2 did, and with Wii fit leading the charge in Japan, I expect a large rise even there

 

To clarify: I do believe the Wii will experience more growth than the PS2 in it's 2nd year (>39%) due to the supply contraints it suffered in year 1, but I expect the Wii's sales to decline year 3, which was the peak year for the PS2 (it saw another 15% growth on Y2).

On the other hand, I expect Wii to experience lower growth rates than the PS360. 360 sales grew 54% in it's second year. To match that, the PS3 would have to sell 11.47m and the Wii would have to sell 22.87m. I think the PS3 has a better chance of achieving that than the Wii.