| theprof00 said: I'll repost since it was an edit and I don't think anyone has read it. I don't see why you guys think the 3ds is going to explode. It's doing so poorly...And wii holding at Q1-3? I just can't see that happening. And ps3 not the highest home selling console? Last time they had an early price drop and final fantasy in japan, they held level with their q1-3 performance (2009). And this week (10/22) is looking like on par with 2010 of the same week, where the year ended off with 6500. But in 2010, there were literally 0 big ps3 releases in the last 10 weeks, and here there are 5. Holding level with this year would mean 7.2m. I'm at 6.1 and I feel like it's low. Do you guys know something that I don't? You think a console that sold 7.2m during the year is going to simply lose 1.4m? What's weird is you guys all have the other consoles at level. xbox 6 -> 5.9, wii 5.8 -> 5.8, but ps3 with a recent price drop, 5-6 big games (including a GOTY contender exclusive), and it's missing 1.4m? How? I mean last year xbox had some huge games come out, had a recent slim model and price drop, kinect unveiling, etc etc, and just barely stayed level. Just noticed that this year, last week has no january days in it. My sales should be a lot higher for that week. |
That's a lot of question lol where to begin. Note that my own predictions may not agree yet with what I state below.
Wii is more casual meaning it's bound to do better during the holidays. It think it'll hold at Q1-3.
PS3 has seen quite some adjustments for the post-price cut numbers, but if they hold at Q1-3 that would be their biggest holiday yet. PS3 has less of the casual market. As for the weak exclusives in 2010, it had GT5 which is still pretty huge.
X360 has a pretty good casual market share in the Americas. I'm thinking around 5.8 is ok.
I think everyone is thinking 3DS will become attractive to the casual with Mario Kart and Super Mario which will make it explode. If you low-ball it and you're right you'll get massive points otherwise everyone else it right and you'll be last :).
