Seece, you really must stop with this Kinect is a console and sells like a console. If that were true, then its doing absolutely HORRIBLE. The Wii, which most people see as performing rather poorly, did more than double Kinect's WW numbers in America alone last week. No, it's just seen as an add-on and its selling like one, which is why its pulling numbers slightly below Wii Fit, and probably slightly above Move.
This holiday isn't going to change that. Sure, its going to see a really nice boost in Americas and the UK (the other two are going to too, though probably not as large), but not numbers like what happened last year when its was crazy hyped and a brand new product. What game for it do you think is going to push that much Kinect HW? The only one that I see that would have been a significant booster was Stat Wars Kinect, and that was delayed til next year.