I was replying to a ridiculous statement with an equally ridiculous statement. As for the comment about not enough threads - what? I read hundreds of threads for every time I post (literally).
As for your numbers. Fine, oh wise and brilliant analyst. Make some closer predictions. You predict 15 million this year. What do you predict for holidays? When do you predict the surge that will put them at or around 1 million consoles per month? What do you predict for the coming months. If your correlation is so accurate, it should provide at minimum ball park figures to this information.
Which markets do you see being the linchpin to the PS3s increased success? A rapid uptick in the Americas, or a burst in Europe, or an explosion in Japan?
The problems with your predictions is that you don't make any predictions that are testable within a reliable time period. You don't support your arguments beyond a very loose correlation. You admit that the PS2 is supply constrained while the PS3 is not even remotely, but with a little hand waving claim that the situations are the same. How?! Correlation is not a sign of causation, and does come close to provide proof.
So please, enlighten us all as to what will cause the PS3 to explode in sales continually throughout the year to reach these numbers? Will they finally be resolving those dreaded supply constraints? Or is it the momentum they are riding after crushing the gamecube Wii and Xbox Xbox 360 during the holidays?
Or is it the overwhelming developer support in comparison to the other systems?
Its easy to go into conspiracy theory mode and find positive reinforcement to your beliefs, but that does not make it reality. Doing good research means looking at the data first and then drawing conclusions from it, not having an ideal solution first and then cherry picking data that picks your predetermined outcome.
However, if and when you are proven wrong, I'm sure you will accept that your reasoning was flawed and that your methods were incorrect, and that you will eat a slice of humble pie right?
