| rocketpig said: And BTW, if that SSD is $40 in 2 years, I will eat my hat. And a whole crow. No. Way. In. Hell. Memory prices are dropping but not that quickly. It will be a few years before we see reasonably priced SSD drives. Even middle-of-the-road HDDs (around 160GB) cost more than $40. Laptop drives are even more money, and mini-drives like the one used in the Macbook Air are even more. |
One year ago a 1 GB SD card cost $50, now they are $6. HD's cost a lot to make, memory does not, it just cost a lot to engineer.
today a 2.5", 32GB SSD is $200 (down from $450 6 months ago). The Drive in the Apple is 64GB (1.8" however). In two years I am sure we will be up to 512 Gig SSD's (we have 128's now).
It might not be $40, but I bet under $100, down from $1000 is probable.
Anyway, we are not talking about SSD's, we are talking the PS3. Sadly, it will not drop near as much. But it should drop a lot. Anytime you put R&D into a something, you then factor the cost of in across the manufacturing of it.
So if something cost 50 million to develop, and you want to make that cost up in 3 years, and expect to sell 20,000 of whatever you designed, you tack $2,500 onto the cost of your first 20k Units.
That's where a lot of the $800 for the PS3 comes from. It's not real manufacturing costs. A lot of R&D went into the CELL and the BD components. Once those dollars are accounted for, the cost of the parts goes way down.
It's why a 50" Plasma that cost 20,000 new, now cost 2,000. It doesn't really cost $18,000 less today to make one.
Anyway, I still think Sony will drop it by $100. Mainly because MS is going to make them.
