People are sleeping on Uncharted 3, when it comes to sales IMO.
I think all of this MW3 and BF3 talk is nonsense, for the simple fact that the people that buy Uncharted games in the first weeks are the hardcore uncharted guys.
Same thing with a franchise like gears, if Gears was out November 1, it would have great opening numbers as well, and the new guys to the franchise that already purchased it right now (because there was lack of games), would purshase the game later, because of good reviews and great quality overall.
I think every great game (big franchises) sells what they have to sell regardless of realease date, when it is all said and done.
And IMO, Uncharted will sell, regardless of how many it sells FW or until the end of the year because it will be a great game.
My bolded predictions for Uncharted 3:
Atleast 2M firt week (based upon American preorder numbers, if they have 20k weeks in the next 3 weeks, plus 3 50k weeks like uncharted 2 had, they will have 500k in americas, and based upon the add in the NFL openner, I think Sony is going all in with this game when it comes to adds, I know it is Sony)
Reviews will be as good as Uncharted 2, no drop off
And you know what, regardless of how many it sells, I will be there enjoying the hell out of the best new franchise this generation gave us