MrMafoo said:
The speed that the components will drop in cost is a lot greater than the 360. It’s like the new Mac Book Air with the SSD drive. Today you pay $1000 just for the HD. In two years, that same drive will probably cost 40 bucks. I see it dropping $100 this year. |
Not true. While Moore's law doesn't apply to price, most tech products follow a very similar scale, dropping in half every 18-24 months until they reach rock bottom pricing.
Prices don't drop that quickly and while the PS3 will be two years old this holiday season, it's unlikely that Sony has dropped much more than 50% off the manufacturing cost during that time. Considering that the machine reportedly cost $800 or so to make at launch, that puts it in the $350-400 range.
Don't forget that sooner or later, Sony will want to start making money on the console, too.
And BTW, if that SSD is $40 in 2 years, I will eat my hat. And a whole crow. No. Way. In. Hell. Memory prices are dropping but not that quickly. It will be a few years before we see reasonably priced SSD drives. Even middle-of-the-road HDDs (around 160GB) cost more than $40. Laptop drives are even more money, and mini-drives like the one used in the Macbook Air are even more.

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