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tbh, I think Epic screwed up on UTIII, alot of returning fans saw it as a step in the wrong direction, quite a few were put off by the demo. Also, apparantly the UI is terrible.

Crysis, on the other hand, will probably sell terribly - but it will continue selling terribly for a long, long time. I expect 30,000 every month until the next big graphical game comes out in a year or two.