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Im guessing the majority of the prognosticators a hoping for some sort of self-fulfilling prophecy just look at the countries that you usually hear this chatter from (Russia, the Arab world and pro-hardcore socialist states).
In terms of military strength i wouldn't even go there, the phrase "demons with clubs" (or is it demons) comes to mind. Economically, i agree with starcraft it's all relative though America does have problems they seriously need to address.