| binary solo said: I think we can be certain that Sony are not going to wait for PS3's 10th anniversary to launch PS4. It really will be aging horribly by then. 18 month's time is PS3's 7th anniversary from the Japan launch. Gives PS4 3 years to get up a head of steam before Sony pull the plug on PS3. A 3 year transition seems a bit long. I would think 2 years would be enough, if PS4 launches for the right price. If Sony can get PS3 costs down to <$150 US then PS3 could have a 3 year lifespan if PS4 launches at $399. PS4 will probably spend 2 years at that price, then drop to $299. If PS3 is still half the price of PS4 then it can live at least another year to make that 10 year plan real. Me, I'm thinking Japan for Holiday 2013, and Q2 2014 for the rest of the world. So push the launch out by 6 months or so. Xbox 720 must have a similar launch horizon. |
The 'ideal' life span of any console ( at least from the makers point of view ) is to keep it around as long as possible because the longer its around the cheaper it gets for them to manufacture.. The 'easiest' way to do that is if you're console is selling better then everyone elses. Last generation they 'could' (figuratively speaking ) 'milk' the PS2 and make it last because last gen it had very little competition...it was the #1 selling console, it had the most games, and it had the best games. Its much harder for any console manufacturer to do this when you're in a much tighter race.. You can't have the longest life cycle when you're in a tight race ( as Sony is now ) and will likely never be anywhere close to #1 as the PS2 was... I Don't Beleive Sony will not hit the 10 yr mark this time, before the launch of the PS4, they seem more determined to have a product launch ready in conjunction with MS's launch.. EA has supposedly leaked out that they are already developing for a NEXT GEN Xbox .. which makes sense.. If Next Gen launches in 2 yrs.. it means what ? Game development is already happening.. consoles typically launch with a dozen titles on day one with more following within weeks..
