How will Kinect preform during the holidays?

[Gojimaster]

thx1139 said:

Gojimaster said:

I honesty don't think Kinect will much more than 50% of what it did last year unless it has a big price cut.  The hype has died down, Star Wars isn't coming out, the 360 is near the end of its life cycle, and Kinect is currently only selling around 20k monthly.  That is, although surely undertracked, a very low number.  Hot items like the Wii, the Wii Fit, the IPad, never stooped to such low levels.  The Wii Fit is 3 years old and it destroying Kinect right now.  Microsoft can't throw out nearly the marketing budget this year either.  Kinect will sell, but I don't think it will hit anywhere near 2010 numbers-- it might even do far less than 50%. 

Dont know where you are getting your numbers. After July NPD it was reported by Gamasutra that 52% of 360s being sold are Kinect bundles. So your 20K number is way off. Maybe just the standalone units are selling 20K per month, but not total Kinects.

As for this year I expect sales to be as good or better in November and December simply because last year they were in short supply. That will not be the case this year.  MS will not run out mid December like they did last year.

I meant 20k weekly-- pulled from vgchartz numbers.  How will it sell on par to last years numbers when it can't even outsell Wii Fit?  Its not like Kinect is flying off the shelves right now.