naznatips said:
Well, this this argument is flawed too. The big developers absolutely can survive on the PS3 and 360. GTAIV is going to sell even if it completely blows. The issue isn't that they can't survive, it's that they are going to be seeing drastic changes in profits from last generation. For example, a game on the PS2 may have sold 3 million copies, and cost $20 million to develop. That was high budget last generation. The sequel to that game on the PS3 may cost $35 million to develop, and manage to sell 1.5 million copies. Did the developer make a profit on this game? Absolutely, but when they look at their financial reports, are they going to be satisfied? Absolutely not... |
Of cource Naz, perhaps I was being a bit too hyperbolic. All third parties that support the HD consoles over the wii aren't going to be bankrupt in the next four years, but if they follow that path Nintendo will be just about the only developer showing substantial growth. Nintendo has sky rocketed with more money than they know what to do with (it will be interesting from a business perspective to see what such a conservative company will do with such a vast fortune). But what of other third parties? Will making a modest profit off of a 4 year project be enough to stimulate healthy growth? Not a chance. At the end of this gen, Nintendo will have an incredible amount of cash to buy struggling third parties that can't seem to cope with the new paradigm shift.
What I was trying to get across is that Nintendo could very easily go back to being a giant powerhouse of a monopoly because stubburn and clueless third parties insist on Churning out 57 HD FPS a year, and insisting that the wii couldn't sell any real games.

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