PS3's hardest fight is in Japan

[shams]

The PS3 has *already* had a steller lineup- in Japan, for year#1 - and most of the titles bombed (at least compared to PS2 software sales).

These sales are really terrible (more so when compared to the dev costs) - the PS3 has now had TWO Christmas's already:

http://vgchartz.com/japweekly.php?date=39460&console=PS3&maker=&disp=Japanese+Name&boxartz=1

Dynasty Warriors 5 - under 400k
Time Crisis 4 - under 40k
Gundam Musou - under 300k
Ninja Gaiden - under 100k
Ridge Racer 7- under 150k
FolksSoul - under 50k

Ouch.

I agree completely, that the Japanese market is the biggest challenge for the PS3. It seems to have gone completely casual, and its either handheld or casual console (Wii) games that are doing well now.

I predict that DMC4 will (relatively) bomb, as will MGS4 - once MGS4 (relatively) bombs, there is no going back.

...

At the same time, the current charts have 4 million sellers for the Wii - with WiiSpots approaching 3m - (almost) more sales than all the PS3 software titles in the charts added together.

*** Note - just noticed that the Wii has sold more software in Japan than the PSP has (at least that is tracked in the charts)!