Parokki on 16 January 2008
All good points, but I think there's one you forgot. While the US has historically given ample support to more than one platform each generation (last gen console shipments: 47M, 16M, 12M), Japan has chosen one home console and ignored the rest (last gen console shipments: 24M, 4M, 500k). I think we can all see that they've made their choice already, and it wasn't Sony.
The PS3 is just barely doing better than the Gamecube in Japan, and it'll almost certainly fail to reach 6 million units during its lifetime. I'd be skeptical of even 5M, but there are still a few big exclusives left, which will probably do better than anything on the Gamecube did.
