theprof00 said:
You initial vote was very presumptuous and lacking in a thought out map of the events, specifically that you only considered two people could possibly have lied. Additionally, "I don't know what to think anymore" is a common mafia tell, ff himself exhibited it a couple games ago, saying he was "confused" and "unsure". I even used it myself several times. Oftentimes, it makes sense to use as it's a semi good cover for a lie. I'm not 100% confident that you are the mafia, and I'd rather take another death before I make my decision since if you aren't the mafia, and are either the doc or rb, then the chances are very slim for survival, either 33% or 50%, I'm not sure. Tonight, though, with a no lynch, our chances for survival are between 33-66.7%. I feel a no lynch is the safest, smartest bet, but I may end up voting if things make sense enough. I do agree that I think Heph lied, and it's possible he didn't do anything last night as well. But I disagree that he targeted the same person on night one. I'll explain after the game since it's a bit meta, but I think it's very likely that the two killers targeted seperate people night 0. Also, FoS on FF for taking a quick move on Baal for what COULD very well be a fuck-up. |
FF got bumped :P
I feel confident with my vote on baal. It could very well be wrong but I currenlty would rather go by the simple solution. The one with the fewest lies. I could try for many senarios that have a combination of people lying, but then there are many posiblbities and we could pick the wrong one. I'm going by the simplest. If you find a simple solution I missed that points to someone other than baal, then do please share it.
Now if I am wrong and it's not baal, we will still have a RB and/or a doc and who will hopefully be able to figure out who is who and get us through the night. Then tomorrow knowing baal's role hopefully figuring out if it is you or trucks as the killer.
