mendozahotness said:
osamanobama said:
i believe i have, what you would call, "owned" him
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Your figures back me up though.
God of War 3 predictions (3.7m when we started so any 4m guess would have been over at the time)
leatherhat said:
GoW will pass 4 but I don't think it has the general appeal to reach uncharted levels
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Chibi.V.29 said:
gow3 i think will hit about 4.2 million
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9087 said:
U2 is going to hit 4million very easily, and it looks like GoW3 will too.
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Aion said:
GoW 3 - 4 million
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irtz said:
Uncharted and GOW3 about 4.2 million
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sabby_e17 said:
God of War 3: 4 million |
KeyStyle said:
GOW3=4 million |
Scoobes said:
I think your Uncharted 2 and GoW3 predictions are pretty accurate. I'd say about 4million for each. |
Jay520 said:
Dgc1808 said:
Would be amazing if GoW3 could hit 5 Million. |
I think it's quite possible to happen sometime in the FAR future. Possibly after the PS4 releases. |
calibrate` said:
God of War 3: 6 - 7 million (with probably greatest hits & all the bundles with GoW1 & 2
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| A203D said:
God of War 3: 5 mil
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PlaystaionGamer said:
God of War 3: 4.7
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MARCUSDJACKSON said:
GOD3 5m
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CGI-Quality said:
God of War III - 4.7/4.8 - 5 million
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Boutros said:
God of War 3, 4.5 million.
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postofficebuddy said:
Yeah it's amazing how both GOW3 and U2 I'd say both have a pretty fair shot at 5 million.
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Gilgamesh said:
God of War III: 5 million
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NSS7 said:
GOW3 will do 5 million easily
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| TrevDaRev said:
God Of WAR III - 4.5million **updated to 5 million**
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iWarMachine said:
God Of War 3 has a shot for 5M too.
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M.U.G.E.N said:
Exactly and I think GOW3 will reach 5mil personally.
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| jester2358 said:
edit: i think gow3 will pass 4.5 after looking at fable 2 sales
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Dahum said:
God Of War III: 6 million
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bumblejr2 said:
GoWIII: 4Million |
I have 23, you have 26. So there must be 3 duplicates in there..
I count 18 for underestimates, assuming there are also 3 duplicates that's 23/15 split.
A little different from my original figures, I can only guess that the wires got crossed in totalling up and the differences were added to the wrong totals.
5 were within the realms of being correct.
So with the new totals
Overestimated/ Underestimated
Uncharted 2 = 18 / 29
God of War 3 = 23 / 15 *corrected
Gran Turismo 5 = 35 / 3 *** Corrected
Totals
Overestimated/ Underestimated
76/ 47
Final Result: 29 overestimated surplus
Thus with your figures and mine we confirming "there were more underestimators then overestimaters" a lie. In fact it would take GoW hitting 5 million, UC2 hitting 6 million and GT5 hitting 9 million to break even on it. Just confirms theres way more crow to eat for the other guys.
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You're clearly not understanding what these predictions were about. They are lifetime predictions. Therefore, you can not say a prediction was an overestimation, until sales have stopped (or at least reached a level where it is clear that reaching the prediction is not going to happen).
At this point in time, there are only 2 classifications for predictions: underestimated or undetermined. No prediction made so far has been an overestimation. If the number has not yet been reached, it is undetermined, because it may yet be reached. You only "eat crow" when you've been proven wrong. If I say "GT5 will sell 7 million by year's end", I don't "eat crow" everyday during 2011 that it hasn't reached 7 million. I either eat crow after 2011 (if GT5 misses), or someone who said that I was wrong will eat crow (if GT5 was to surpass the target).
Frankly, you can argue your case all you want, but you are definitely and definitively wrong, 100% incorrect at this point in time. If, in a few years time, when all these games have stopped selling, there are more people who overestimated than underestimated, you can come back to this thread and say you were right, that more people were too optimisic than pessimistic. But for now, it can only correctly be said who has underestimated, because we don't know if anyone has overestimated (as the figures may or may not reach their predictions).
