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Jay520 on 31 July 2011
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osamanobama said:

 

okay in order to stop huge inacurracies in one persons posts i have done the math and have the averages of all the sales predictions of each game.

predictions pre Uncharted 2, God of War 3, and Gran Turismo 5 releases

God Of War 3 Uncharted 2 GT5
               3.374 3.026 8.454
actual sales 3.94                                                                 4.71                                                                                    6.38                                   
difference .566 1.684 -2.074

predictions post Uncharted 2 and God of War release and at GT5 release

God of War 3 Uncharted 2 GT5
4.530 4.738 9.057

overall predictions

name GOW 3 Uncharted 2 GT5
predicted sales 3.952 3.882 8.714
actual sales 3.94 4.71 6.38
difference in prediction and actual -.012 .828 -2.334
likely sales 4.8 5.4 10

so as you can see the predictions before the games were released were just awful terrible, and pathetic, nothing was remotely close. GOW3 sales were .6 off, and after this year will be more than 1 million off. Uncharted 2 was 1.7 million off, and by the end of this year it will be more than 2 million off. Gran Turismo 5 so far is 2 million under, but by the end of this year it will be about .5 million under. currently the game is tracking ahead of GT4 which sold 10.5 million, so we can only expect similar number from GT5 or a little lower.

Predictions after the games released w a lot higher, as to be expecected, but were still very bad and every single game will surpass the guesses.

and i put down the likely sales for each game, which i feel will likely be around what they end up with.



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