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osamanobama on 31 July 2011
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mendozahotness said:
Jay520 said:

 The 10m LT prediction IS right. And if you don't understand that, then there's no reason debating with you.

Again those predictions are for when the games stop selling. That means once the games start sellingl <100 units a week. Based on sales trends, we know that those games will reach most of their predictions before the moment they stop selling. It's guaranteed.

At best you have evidence - if this site could be called that considering the absence of any - of what it has sold right now. What you're referring to is hope.

Jay520 said:

As for Reach. It's not a matter of IF it does, because it WILL do 10m. It's guaranteed. We know that by looking at the current sales of the game. We can clearly see what the game will and won't reach. Reach WILL cross 10m in it's Lifetime.

I think you're confusing a guarentee with a likelyhood.

Jay520 said:
That means once the games start sellingl <100 units a week.

Shouldn't it be more like when the game stops selling enough to reach the prediction? GT5 sales last week were 10,000 - Are you seriously suggesting i'd need to wait until another 300 weeks or 69 months or 5 and 3/4 years (longer if the trend is downwards which it will be and for more specific predictions) just to serve some crow before it reaches the average prediction figure?

Whats more, in 2017 would I still hear the same excuses?

actually GT5 sold about 15,000 last week, and we are in the middle of summer, sales are slow. in the fall and winter this game will get close to a couple of 100,000 weeks, and will sell close to a 2 million in the last 6 months of this year.