okay in order to stop huge inacurracies in one persons posts i have done the math and have the averages of all the sales predictions of each game.
predictions pre Uncharted 2, God of War 3, and Gran Turismo 5 releases
God Of War 3 | Uncharted 2 | GT5 |
3.374 | 3.026 | 8.454 |
actual sales | 3.94 | 4.71 | 6.38 |
difference | .566 | 1.684 | -2.074 |
predictions post Uncharted 2 and God of War release and at GT5 release
God of War 3 | Uncharted 2 | GT5 |
4.530 | 4.738 | 9.057 |
overall predictions
name | GOW 3 | Uncharted 2 | GT5 |
predicted sales | 3.952 | 3.882 | 8.714 |
actual sales | 3.94 | 4.71 | 6.38 |
difference in prediction and actual | -.012 | .828 | -2.334 |
likely sales | 4.8 | 5.4 | 10 |
so as you can see the predictions before the games were released were just awful terrible, and pathetic, nothing was remotely close. GOW3 sales were .6 off, and after this year will be more than 1 million off. Uncharted 2 was 1.7 million off, and by the end of this year it will be more than 2 million off. Gran Turismo 5 so far is 2 million under, but by the end of this year it will be about .5 million under. currently the game is tracking ahead of GT4 which sold 10.5 million, so we can only expect similar number from GT5 or a little lower.
Predictions after the games released we a lot higher, as to be expecected, but were still very bad and every single game will surpass the guesses.
and i put down the likely sales for each game, which i feel will likely be around what they end up with.