Getting back on topic I personally believe that the only predictable place will be the last and that it will be the Nintendo Wii. I say this because I have observed that despite a price cut the Wii has quickly regressed in sales and no substantial momentum has been gained. Of course it doesn't help that there are few games coming and that third party support in particular is sorely lacking.
That leaves Microsoft and Sony to battle for the first place. While I agree that the 360 will be the best selling console in the states, when it comes to worldwide sales a lot will hinge on a PS3 price cut. Having said that I think if Sony wants to ensure they come out on top they will cut the PS3 price to that magical 199 figure.
Microsoft already offers a 199 solution for their console and the only thing I can see them doing is slashing the price of Kinnect and a possible $50 price cut for their 2 skus. Though if they discount Kinnect the impact will mainly be felt in the USA due to Kinnect being most popular in that country.
Having said all that I predict that with Sony and MS price cuts the sales will look something like this
PS3>>>>360>>>>>>>Wii
And with no PS3 price cut
360>>>PS3>>>>>>>Wii
