I think the 360 will top the PS3 in worldwide sales this holiday season. There will be an enormous difference in the Americas numbers this year due to Halo CE, Gears 3 and CoD MW3 (all 3 being the 360's biggest titles). Also, I get a feeling that MS will cut the price of Kinect, and they will bundle the 360 with probably all 3 games that I listed at different times each. Not only that, but Kinect WILL fly off shelves this holiday season, especially if MS cuts the price. This large difference in the Americas will be capable of offsetting the PS3 lead in Japan and EMEAA, thus helping the 360 take first. I'm not so sure about the Wii, but since Wii sales go through the roof during the holidays, I expect it to outsell the PS3 WW as well. So for the holiday season, I predict 360>Wii>PS3, but all 3 consoles will be fairly close to one another.
Also, I don't see anything on the PS3 that can help propel its sales outside of a price-cut. Japan gets FFXIII-2, and the rest get... Uncharted 3? Neither one of them will be able to fend off the 360s big 3 (keep in mind MS will advertise CoD MW3 exclusively, and will bundle it with the console exclusively too).
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