The use of nuclear weapon in relatively near future is quite possible even in local conflicts as long as at least one nuclear state involved. It won't lead to any armageddon situation as many people seem to think. One of the scenarios that I see possible here is to launch preemptive TNW attack on some sparsely populated military or civil area as an act of intimidation of opposing party in military conflict. Many military doctrines don't see such scenario as smth exceptional or decisive, but rather operational. In fact, many military objects such as CVBG could be effectively destroyed only with massive launch of TNW-armed missiles. In the case of attack on CVBG radiation pollution caused by such explosion is rather insignificant partly due to small size of the warhead and low altitude of final approach stage of majority of ASMs. Say, single Fukushima is worth almost a hundred of such explosions.







